World Cup 2022: How Japan Can Advance to the Round of 16

All of Japan’s Possibilities

The chart below details nearly all the ways group play could end for Japan. Each cell in the chart represents the outcome of two games. Green cells mean that Japan will advance to the next round of the tournament. Pink cells are bad news: they represent outcomes that eliminate Japan.

5-0
4-0
5-1
3-0
4-1
5-2
2-0
3-1
4-2
5-3
1-0
2-1
3-2
4-3
5-4
5-5
4-4
3-3
2-2
1-1
0-0
5-4
4-3
3-2
2-1
1-0
5-3
4-2
3-1
2-0
5-2
4-1
3-0
5-1
4-0
5-0
5-0
4-0
5-1
3-0
4-1
5-2
2-0
3-1
4-2
5-3
1-0
2-1
3-2
4-3
5-4
5-5
4-4
3-3
2-2
1-1
0-0
5-4
4-3
3-2
2-1
1-0
5-3
4-2
3-1
2-0
5-2
4-1
3-0
5-1
4-0
5-0
Japan wins
Tie
Spain wins
Japan vs. Spain
Costa Rica wins
Tie
Germany wins
Costa Rica vs. Germany
Japan wins and Costa Rica wins Costa Rica wins and Japan and Spain tie Spain wins and Costa Rica wins
Japan wins and Costa Rica and Germany tie Both matches tie Spain wins and Costa Rica and Germany tie
Japan wins and Germany wins Germany wins and Japan and Spain tie Spain wins and Germany wins

Japan’s final place in Group E

First

Second

Uncertain

Out

Group E
WWins DDraws LLosses GF GA GD PTS.
1 1 0 8 1 7 4
1 0 1 2 2 0 3
1 0 1 1 7 -6 3
0 1 1 2 3 -1 1

Japan followed up its stunning win over Germany with a surprising loss to Costa Rica. It will advance if it beats Spain and also if both final group games end in a draw. There are also some score scenarios where Japan can advance with a draw if Germany defeats Costa Rica.

Here are the group matches for Japan:

Nov. 23, 8 a.m. E.S.T.
1
2
Nov. 27, 5 a.m. E.S.T.
0
1
Thursday, 2 p.m. E.S.T.
-
-

To see the scenarios for other teams, visit our overview page.