Live Forecast: Who Will Win the House?
Chance of House majority
National popular vote
The estimates for each race are based on the votes reported so far, how those places have voted in previous elections and the results of demographically similar districts where votes have been counted.
Live Estimates of the Most Competitive Districts
Estimated vote margin
Our Estimates, Relative to Expectations
Below, our estimates for the most competitive seatsevery House seat, grouped according to how they were rated before the election by the Cook Political Report.
How Our Estimate of House Composition Has Changed
The lines below include an estimate of uncertainty. As more races are called, the uncertainty around these estimates will narrow.
Possible Outcomes Remaining
The chart below shows the estimated likelihood of each outcome for the majority party. As more races are called, the range of outcomes will narrow.
Alyse Galvin won the Democratic primary in Alaska but is running as an independent. She is grouped here with the Democrats.